0xa00dab7a6c6ce640c872099058e97708eef5cf2f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.69
- Volume
- $110.25
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $9.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.999 | $2.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · No | 0.750 | 0.746 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.265 | $1.04 | −$0.96 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.160 | $0.57 | −$1.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.410Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
- +$1.77at 0.530Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.40at 0.590Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.04at 0.660Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:59 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:58 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:54 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:14 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299997376 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:57 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 19:56 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 11:56 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 03:28 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.16 |
| 07-31 03:28 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.51 |
| 07-31 03:28 | Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.00 |