PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Moonshot1019

0x9c987f84d18a4dd640909409b31212fbb805f4f4

Realised P&L
$42.3k
Volume
$3.16M
Markets traded
447
Open portfolio
$109.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded447
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7550.795$20.9k+$1.1k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7190.987$16.7k+$4.5k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.8710.795$12.2k$1.2k
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9230.975$11.2k+$591.05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6890.710$9.0k+$271.04
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.9080.973$8.1k+$546.73
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.5800.415$7.3k$2.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.9100.956$5.8k+$279.68
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9470.977$4.5k+$137.56
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.6000.680$3.3k+$386.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.6410.981$3.0k+$1.1k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.5640.880$3.0k+$1.1k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8480.675$1.9k$484.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9570.876$1.8k$171.60
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7660.890$352.97+$49.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.8055625493$408.26
08-02 03:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.5210989771$3.8k
08-02 02:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8078723027$455.63
08-02 02:36Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis ShapovalovBUY0.6$1000.00
08-02 01:51Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.4091582793$500.00
08-02 01:51Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.4159781565$500.00
08-02 01:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.28$616.00
08-02 01:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.27$1.4k
08-02 01:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.87$1.8k
08-02 01:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8$482.38
08-02 00:57Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.72$3.5k
08-01 22:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.7$350.00
08-01 21:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.7$2.8k
08-01 21:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6999063992$2.2k
08-01 21:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.8600339571$2.3k