PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x9b7cc116daf6fedd506f63b75a259d3f313c1791

Realised P&L
$6.80
Volume
$113.40
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$18.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6400.910$2.84+$0.84
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$2.24+$0.24
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6900.705$2.04+$0.04
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No0.5800.645$1.97+$0.20
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5400.520$1.93$0.07
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · No0.4900.463$1.89$0.11
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? · No0.6400.550$1.72$0.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3900.330$1.69$0.31
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? · No0.7400.445$1.20$0.80
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.5600.165$0.50$1.21
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.085$0.32$1.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 16:28Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-05 08:25Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-05 00:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-04 16:19Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-04 08:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.00
08-04 00:14Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?BUY0.74$2.00
08-03 16:14Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 08:13Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-03 00:10Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
08-02 16:08Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-02 06:38Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 22:35Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.64$2.00
08-01 13:20Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?BUY0.64$2.00
08-01 02:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
08-01 01:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.5799998886$1.77