0x9a3e9ef1ea6ef1aba1f8cb15348e816906cb3f8c
- Realised P&L
- $23.58
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $73.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.38at 0.519Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
- +$38.97at 0.680LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$38.21at 0.510Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova
- +$27.06at 0.460LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
- +$13.76at 0.240LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:10 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.7609999865 | $2.43 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4699998616 | $1.63 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.7301235042 | $2.58 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.91 |
| 08-02 08:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9709998073 | $4.66 |
| 08-02 07:21 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999864 | $4.17 |
| 08-02 06:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.34 |
| 08-01 04:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.956 | $5.10 |
| 07-29 22:44 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.40 |
| 07-29 00:31 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.8799998819 | $4.77 |
| 07-27 18:13 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.3899999297 | $2.83 |
| 07-27 14:23 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5799999668 | $3.49 |
| 07-27 09:27 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.90 |
| 07-25 18:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5099999821 | $3.14 |