0x99DCFbdb9C54300Dce58070f488Be02f10d13891-1771943770554
0x99dcfbdb9c54300dce58070f488be02f10d13891
- Realised P&L
- $-22.19
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $69.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.78at 0.180US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$9.29at 0.350Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
- +$2.88at 0.510Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
- +$1.70at 0.370Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Winter Bear (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
- +$0.75at 0.570Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 15:52 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 15:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.42 |
| 05-28 15:50 | Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0679381145 | $5.49 |
| 05-28 15:49 | Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0449841357 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 10:13 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999824 | $4.00 |
| 05-11 10:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 15:28 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0519999949 | $9.41 |
| 03-01 16:34 | T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 11:43 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.640999983 | $6.76 |
| 02-28 11:42 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.6419999345 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 22:41 | Will Trump say "Switzerland" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.2726367656 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 22:41 | Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 22:40 | Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 22:40 | Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |