PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x98d7b592655f65ed41c100a492f4e311d878f519

Realised P&L
$5.40
Volume
$95.89
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$19.20

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3500.585$3.34+$1.34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.6500.992$3.05+$1.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.7300.895$2.45+$0.45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5500.625$2.23+$0.27
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? · Yes0.2700.265$1.96$0.04
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3600.340$1.89$0.11
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No0.7500.675$1.80$0.20
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · No0.6700.610$1.70$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2800.105$0.75$1.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2500.003$0.02$1.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 07:58Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-03 23:58Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-03 15:57Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.75$2.00
08-03 07:56Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
08-02 21:49Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-02 13:45Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 05:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 05:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-01 21:08Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
08-01 13:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 03:37Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 19:37Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 19:37New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-31 11:35Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 19:07New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95