0x98d553430894f5e18fa60fcb1680842e0d3a927f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.62
- Volume
- $19.11
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.915 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.330 | 0.395 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.710 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No | 0.500 | 0.500 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No | 0.502 | 0.500 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.703 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.500 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.205 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.175 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:36 | Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:33 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:28 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:00 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:23 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:16 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999699 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:16 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 11:05 | Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |