0x932F8226B89cok
0x932f8226b89cc5adb5dac6c60e1c013c5c0cfe5e
- Realised P&L
- $-361.04
- Volume
- $85.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,213
- Open portfolio
- $511.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,213
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.70at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2PM ET
- +$53.18at 0.110Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
- +$43.97at 0.140US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$41.10at 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
- +$40.43at 0.947Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:52 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:52 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:29 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 19:29 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 19:29 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8415841451 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.10 |
| 08-02 14:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.06 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:06 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.8599999742 | $10.00 |