PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x932F8226B89cok

0x932f8226b89cc5adb5dac6c60e1c013c5c0cfe5e

Realised P&L
$-361.04
Volume
$85.6k
Markets traded
1,213
Open portfolio
$511.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,213
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8950.915$270.99+$5.99
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.8490.885$37.72+$1.52
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9190.976$21.22+$1.22
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8100.810$20.01+$0.01
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9650.966$15.01+$0.01
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · No0.8600.840$14.65$0.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9110.999$12.05+$1.05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6430.655$11.21+$0.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9610.991$10.31+$0.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9710.996$10.25+$0.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8900.895$10.06+$0.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8800.875$9.94$0.06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.9820.969$9.86$0.14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8100.795$9.81$0.19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5170.506$9.79$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:52Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.7799998596$5.00
08-03 05:52Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
08-02 19:29Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
08-02 19:29Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
08-02 19:29Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
08-02 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.8299998589$5.00
08-02 14:57Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
08-02 14:57Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8415841451$5.00
08-02 14:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.49$3.10
08-02 14:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.35$2.06
08-02 14:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
08-02 14:06Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-02 14:06Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.8$10.00
08-02 12:58Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9659999994$10.00
08-02 12:58Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.8599999742$10.00