PolyBot

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Traders

0x92dd2e77439eacba15bcf2efd5e0e50bbb90b995

Realised P&L
$4.58
Volume
$110.81
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$12.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7200.992$2.76+$0.76
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.7301.000$2.74+$0.74
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · Yes0.4600.550$2.39+$0.39
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No0.7500.720$1.92$0.08
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · No0.6000.575$1.92$0.08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.155$0.39$1.51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2700.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 16:15Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-05 08:14Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-04 00:09Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.7499997187$2.00
08-03 16:08Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 08:06Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
08-02 23:28Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-02 15:28Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 07:07Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-01 23:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 14:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-01 03:24Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 19:23New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 11:23Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 05:51Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?BUY0.3499998855$1.07
07-28 21:45New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95