0x92dd2e77439eacba15bcf2efd5e0e50bbb90b995
- Realised P&L
- $4.58
- Volume
- $110.81
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $12.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.992 | $2.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.550 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No | 0.750 | 0.720 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · No | 0.600 | 0.575 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.155 | $0.39 | −$1.51 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.360Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
- +$1.16at 0.620Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$1.13at 0.630Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.10at 0.640S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:15 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 08:14 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:09 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:08 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:24 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 19:23 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 11:23 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 05:51 | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3499998855 | $1.07 |
| 07-28 21:45 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |