PolyBot

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Traders

0x92839f05761afba4690801f900f4dd40a289819e

Realised P&L
$7.87
Volume
$79.19
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$17.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4300.700$3.26+$1.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7600.999$2.63+$0.63
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No0.5900.645$2.20+$0.19
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.2600.280$2.15+$0.15
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · No0.7700.765$1.99$0.01
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.4200.385$1.83$0.17
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.7800.675$1.73$0.27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.3800.265$1.39$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:52Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-04 08:32Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-04 00:31Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 16:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
08-03 08:30Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-02 23:30Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-02 23:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
08-02 15:29Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 06:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 22:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
08-01 13:16Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7799996958$2.00
08-01 03:51Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 19:51Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.5899999941$2.01
07-31 11:49Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-30 14:58Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56