PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ddw2222

0x91ca1a145b740e62bc521cfb4a6da73d4e260957

Realised P&L
$-631.66
Volume
$192.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$680.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.013$435.50$244.72
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0600.077$245.13+$55.35
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.8600.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 05:40Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.015$55.74
07-31 05:40Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.015$56.76
07-21 08:02Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.073$3.72
07-21 06:44Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.075$3.45
07-02 01:38Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.06$399.84
07-02 01:35Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.018$4.99
07-01 11:19Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.023$73.75
06-30 08:53Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.06$60.00
06-19 06:09Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.004$43.35
06-18 15:00Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.005$50.00
06-12 17:35Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$15.91
06-09 19:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.007$20.00
06-09 19:13Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.01$12.19
06-07 13:56Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.0106289226$25.91
06-07 13:51Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.009$5.93