0x91b7813217db3ea0085913f85581d955802a7674
- Realised P&L
- $-6.33
- Volume
- $64.09
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.815 | $2.24 | +$0.15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.310 | 0.270 | $1.82 | −$0.27 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.330 | $1.77 | −$0.32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.375 | $1.60 | −$0.49 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.250 | 0.175 | $1.46 | −$0.63 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.325 | $1.45 | −$0.64 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.360 | 0.175 | $1.02 | −$1.07 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.125 | $0.82 | −$1.27 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.3599999242 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 02:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999348 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 18:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3099999199 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 10:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999123 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 11:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899998945 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2149999244 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 03:06 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 19:06 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 11:04 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |