Lumpshop
0x90179a94e5c89601442d60d0f506488d60092e2a
- Realised P&L
- $10.85
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $119.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.40at 0.860Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$8.40at 0.720Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?
- +$6.43at 0.890Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$5.18at 0.802U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$3.50at 0.800Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 14:21 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 14:18 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | BUY | 0.9389999953 | $6.00 |
| 05-21 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.9663760808 | $8.00 |
| 05-21 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.9509999996 | $11.00 |
| 05-08 10:05 | Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Martin Krumich | BUY | 0.9399999958 | $9.00 |
| 05-08 10:04 | Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9749999335 | $11.00 |
| 05-08 10:04 | Will XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 10:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.9929999691 | $8.00 |
| 05-08 10:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.9759999987 | $12.00 |
| 05-08 10:03 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $12.00 |
| 05-08 10:02 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? | BUY | 0.9759999935 | $12.00 |
| 05-08 10:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 09:57 | Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | SELL | 0.7366965429 | $11.51 |
| 05-08 09:57 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | SELL | 0.9468469208 | $16.14 |
| 04-29 17:50 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9379999981 | $16.00 |