0x8f1c48e8da05497a046ee05dd4aa765be6c70af7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.33
- Volume
- $42.73
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.460 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.845 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.751 | 0.747 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.190 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.190 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.00at 0.080Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
- +$-2.00at 0.120Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:20 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 21:53 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1929998498 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 12:17 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:58 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7509995824 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:57 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 10:26 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 10:25 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |