PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8f077bd9b0ef424d9019acddc10aea241b299a25

Realised P&L
$128.57
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$118.24

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.0851.000$48.11+$44.01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0580.146$11.72+$7.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.3101.000$7.74+$5.34
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0600.075$6.04+$1.24
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.955$5.08+$0.08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · No0.4401.000$5.00+$2.80
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · No0.4401.000$5.00+$2.80
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0730.041$4.03$3.22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0660.086$3.66+$0.85
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0410.048$2.81+$0.38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.395$2.69$0.31
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.1600.095$1.85$1.27
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat? · No0.0600.057$1.70$0.10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.1800.060$1.68$3.32
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0330.029$1.64$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 12:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.451$7.56
04-24 11:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.042$3.36
04-24 10:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.477$7.54
04-24 10:56Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.48$7.57
04-24 10:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.518$7.62
04-24 10:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.5122516171$7.53
04-24 10:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.518$7.58
04-24 10:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.518$7.58
04-24 09:24Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.46$7.82
04-24 09:23Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.54$13.69
04-24 08:32Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.61$7.75
04-24 08:16Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.69$7.79
04-24 08:14Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.69$7.79
04-24 08:12Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.69$7.79
04-24 08:09Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.69$7.85