PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KaraThompson3479

0x8e5772a60fbe7880466429c73719dfe0845b6c04

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$142.0k
Markets traded
245
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded245
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Under0.8100.675$688.50$137.70
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6000.895$265.81+$87.61
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.7901.000$48.00+$10.08
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.8000.625$35.00$9.80
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0710.886$0.89+$0.82
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$11.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 01:30Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.8$44.80
03-24 07:38Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$3.06
03-24 07:37Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$10.92
03-24 07:35Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$12.24
03-24 07:34Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$13.62
03-24 07:32Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$22.44
03-24 07:31Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?SELL0.06$6.90
03-23 03:22Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?BUY0.15$172.95
03-22 01:42Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL0.32$173.12
03-20 08:19Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY0.57$308.37
03-14 06:30New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5BUY0.81$826.20
03-11 11:04Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.67$213.73
03-11 11:03Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.67$144.72
03-11 10:34Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?SELL0.74$149.48
03-06 09:54Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?BUY0.89$179.78