0x8d271E2570233bAe059414a33608cC6E97932B9E-1784130763241
0x8d271e2570233bae059414a33608cc6e97932b9e
- Realised P&L
- $-301.61
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $191.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.02at 0.639Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$75.25at 0.210Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$72.76at 0.758Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$71.97at 0.717Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$24.93at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.464434904 | $130.96 |
| 08-05 10:18 | Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0867060655 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 19:31 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.0317062565 | $35.95 |
| 08-03 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.093066456 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0882053727 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2265607939 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2604920273 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2862595243 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3533231334 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |