PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8ac9b77a8e794ef800f6674af76752d8ca763b0e

Realised P&L
$-8.21
Volume
$71.90
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$10.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7900.972$2.46+$0.46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.605$2.16+$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7700.825$2.14+$0.14
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.650$1.86$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6900.525$1.52$0.48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3600.009$0.05$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 17:58Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-02 08:55Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-02 00:29Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-01 16:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-01 02:33Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.699999755$2.00
07-31 18:31Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-31 10:30Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-29 19:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.46$1.61
07-28 20:28Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.46$1.61
07-28 10:13Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 22:42Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.6599998949$2.01
07-27 14:05Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-27 01:39Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?BUY0.7399999632$2.01
07-26 13:39Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.38$1.14