0x87f61f345f04b525e4ca0ff1a3e9a81cc37c9932
- Realised P&L
- $-2.51
- Volume
- $68.46
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $15.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.795 | $3.17 | +$0.98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.565 | $2.95 | +$0.76 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.905 | $2.54 | +$0.35 |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · No | 0.330 | 0.345 | $2.29 | +$0.10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.435 | $2.17 | −$0.02 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.295 | $1.70 | −$0.49 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.112 | $0.58 | −$1.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.97at 0.690Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999518 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 00:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999463 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 00:47 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999514 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 16:39 | Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3299999307 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 08:38 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 04:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999121 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 20:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999463 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 12:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6899997011 | $2.17 |
| 08-01 04:05 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 20:05 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 11:55 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 01:14 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999396 | $2.18 |
| 07-30 14:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 20:06 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999343 | $2.07 |