walaaa
0x86f57f4b564d8d5a6347ceeb34d6e88db72a7dad
- Realised P&L
- $-288.19
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $129.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.16at 0.562Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$150.01at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$99.26at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$75.00at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$64.63at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.08 |
| 08-03 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.46 |
| 08-02 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:29 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999958 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:25 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6715720538 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:24 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:24 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:23 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5359999623 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7499998875 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |