PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8450e0d504dbf81e20147dc5116f76cecc424fcc

Realised P&L
$0.20
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
788
Open portfolio
$367.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded788
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? · No0.9900.940$7.19$0.39
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · No0.9650.970$5.02+$0.02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · No0.9351.000$5.00+$0.32
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.9510.999$5.00+$0.24
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? · No0.9301.000$5.00+$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9190.997$4.99+$0.39
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · Yes0.9500.997$4.98+$0.23
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? · No0.9590.988$4.95+$0.15
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? · Yes0.9000.984$4.92+$0.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9100.984$4.92+$0.37
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31? · No0.9500.983$4.91+$0.16
Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9300.982$4.91+$0.26
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.9400.982$4.91+$0.21
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.9400.977$4.88+$0.18
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9300.976$4.88+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:06Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?BUY0.919999992$4.61
08-02 23:42Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.919999992$4.61
08-02 22:15Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.94$4.70
08-02 21:26Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.919999992$4.61
08-02 20:16Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.939999996$4.75
08-02 19:49Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.919999992$4.61
08-02 16:07Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?BUY0.954$4.77
08-02 10:13Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.93$4.65
08-02 08:52Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.91$4.55
08-02 06:23Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.95$4.75
08-02 03:53Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?BUY0.91$4.55
08-01 19:08Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.91$4.55
08-01 15:26Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.929999998$4.70
08-01 12:22Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9189999841$4.61
08-01 10:39Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.919999992$4.61