0x8450e0d504dbf81e20147dc5116f76cecc424fcc
- Realised P&L
- $0.20
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $367.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.67at 0.900Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?
- +$1.65at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 19?
- +$1.64at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 19?
- +$1.63at 0.901Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 19?
- +$1.57at 0.900Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:06 | Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.919999992 | $4.61 |
| 08-02 23:42 | Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.919999992 | $4.61 |
| 08-02 22:15 | Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.919999992 | $4.61 |
| 08-02 20:16 | Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 08-02 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.919999992 | $4.61 |
| 08-02 16:07 | Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.77 |
| 08-02 10:13 | Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 08:52 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-02 06:23 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-02 03:53 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 15:26 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.929999998 | $4.70 |
| 08-01 12:22 | Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9189999841 | $4.61 |
| 08-01 10:39 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.919999992 | $4.61 |