0x819b109c002469d584b14b64da4b8ad0e01b09b7
- Realised P&L
- $10.86
- Volume
- $100.18
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $25.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.980 | $4.01 | +$1.92 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.510 | 0.948 | $3.88 | +$1.79 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 7? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.978 | $2.92 | +$0.83 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.905 | $2.91 | +$0.82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.515 | $2.83 | +$0.74 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.780 | $2.47 | +$0.38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.895 | $2.40 | +$0.31 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No | 0.260 | 0.280 | $2.25 | +$0.16 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.165 | $0.80 | −$1.29 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.066 | $0.43 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.13at 0.400Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$3.01at 0.410S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$1.93at 0.520Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.19at 0.610Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.18at 0.640Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:55 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 7? | BUY | 0.6999999665 | $2.09 |
| 08-07 11:53 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 08-07 03:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5099999073 | $2.09 |
| 08-06 19:05 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2599999254 | $2.09 |
| 08-06 11:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.4099999627 | $2.09 |
| 08-06 01:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 05:09 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 21:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 04:21 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 20:19 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999073 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 11:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 03:47 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? | BUY | 0.6599999242 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 19:38 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5199999801 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 07:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.429999893 | $2.09 |