PolyBot

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Traders

0x819b109c002469d584b14b64da4b8ad0e01b09b7

Realised P&L
$10.86
Volume
$100.18
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$25.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.5100.980$4.01+$1.92
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? · Up0.5100.948$3.88+$1.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 7? · Yes0.7000.978$2.92+$0.83
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6500.905$2.91+$0.82
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3800.515$2.83+$0.74
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · Yes0.6600.780$2.47+$0.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7800.895$2.40+$0.31
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.2600.280$2.25+$0.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.165$0.80$1.29
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3200.066$0.43$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:55WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 7?BUY0.6999999665$2.09
08-07 11:53Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.32$2.09
08-07 03:45SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.5099999073$2.09
08-06 19:05US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.2599999254$2.09
08-06 11:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.4099999627$2.09
08-06 01:13SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.5899999153$2.09
08-05 05:09Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4$2.09
08-04 21:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.38$2.09
08-04 12:42Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.64$2.09
08-04 04:21Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.25$2.09
08-03 20:19Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5099999073$2.09
08-03 11:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-03 03:47Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?BUY0.6599999242$2.09
08-02 19:38Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5199999801$2.09
08-02 07:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.429999893$2.09