0x78794f462a318a4fbc9cd7f5a322bc2a5502e071
- Realised P&L
- $330.92
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $231.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.114 | 0.114 | $99.56 | −$0.44 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No | 0.630 | 0.660 | $90.42 | +$4.11 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 5? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.780 | $41.79 | +$11.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.36at 0.208U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$52.34at 0.320Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$42.50at 0.260Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$17.38at 0.580Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$16.67at 0.600San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 5? | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 01:43 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.91 | $7.84 |
| 08-05 01:43 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.66 | $9.42 |
| 08-04 23:47 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.62 | $0.07 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.99 | $77.34 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:37 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5199999822 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 16:22 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.113999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 18:09 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 18:09 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 18:09 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6199999835 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 18:07 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5799999901 | $7.00 |