0x783cab69e2c3746d79bf85cd1872785c3dcc3158
- Realised P&L
- $6.53
- Volume
- $48.79
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $12.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.855 | $3.56 | +$2.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.635 | $1.76 | +$0.76 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.930 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.645 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.830 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.660 | 0.655 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.685 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.680 | 0.560 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.260 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.235 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.145 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.13at 0.320SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$1.78at 0.360SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$1.38at 0.420Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$1.22at 0.450Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.13at 0.470Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:49 | Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 00:46 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 14:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 06:30 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 03:02 | Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 02:24 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:42 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 09:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:11 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:50 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:49 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |