0xb15beccBf27F048049c9212f9F023127b140B90F-1775143001640
0x7724110be8926a3d98b49027c02d607dd0d90492
- Realised P&L
- $-59.83
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $33.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.09at 0.317Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
- +$18.54at 0.350Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$13.71at 0.290Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29?
- +$7.39at 0.150Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.25at 0.064Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:15 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.91 |
| 08-05 10:12 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.26 |
| 08-04 03:10 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.242 | $3.85 |
| 08-03 18:09 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.38 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 08-03 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-03 08:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 06:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.11 |
| 08-03 06:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.18 |
| 08-03 06:08 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.21 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.85 |
| 08-02 10:11 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 07:10 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.10 |
| 08-02 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.81 |