ih8alll8
0x7243ab28d64e3311ac14f924cd7b68f3b54c942a
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $439.7k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $908.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.213Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.8kat 0.390Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$1.1kat 0.470Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$1.0kat 0.032Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$800.00at 0.600Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:48 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.92 | $1.6k |
| 08-04 13:27 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-04 11:42 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.57 | $38.47 |
| 08-04 11:24 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $139.97 |
| 08-01 20:00 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 15:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $157.98 |
| 07-28 11:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.239 | $28.15 |
| 07-20 12:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.088 | $88.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 07-19 20:50 | Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.141002 | $7.05 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4175 | $37.34 |
| 07-19 17:04 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $19.40 |
| 07-19 15:46 | Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-18 21:36 | France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |