0x7130014ced1559f3fb7565524873878e94635387
- Realised P&L
- $256.34
- Volume
- $44.1k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.10at 0.890Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$64.23at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?
- +$60.31at 0.402Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$57.89at 0.414US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$45.57at 0.990Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $7.08 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.56 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.87 |
| 08-02 03:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.24 |
| 08-02 03:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-01 13:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.31 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.38 |
| 08-01 13:30 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.40 |
| 08-01 10:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 21:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-31 15:55 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.79 |
| 07-31 12:55 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $44.51 |
| 07-31 12:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.39 |
| 07-31 12:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.20 |
| 07-31 12:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.57 |