PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7130014ced1559f3fb7565524873878e94635387

Realised P&L
$256.34
Volume
$44.1k
Markets traded
519
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded519
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8390.958$195.93+$24.23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9250.978$191.23+$10.40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8040.885$118.35+$10.79
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3690.395$103.32+$6.86
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5940.675$90.83+$10.88
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5070.775$90.02+$31.16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8350.900$71.18+$5.14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8870.855$63.40$2.35
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5400.615$61.26+$7.51
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.9070.981$59.62+$4.47
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4400.435$53.14$0.61
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5330.655$39.29+$7.30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5360.680$29.12+$6.14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2170.375$22.53+$9.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2060.445$22.45+$12.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$7.08
08-02 13:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.67$7.56
08-02 13:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.65$6.87
08-02 03:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.8$5.24
08-02 03:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.87$8.70
08-01 13:35Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?BUY0.4$3.31
08-01 13:34Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?BUY0.11$1.38
08-01 13:30Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?BUY0.15$1.40
08-01 10:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.13$1.20
07-31 21:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.59$2.95
07-31 15:55Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.89$8.79
07-31 12:55US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$44.51
07-31 12:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.74$0.39
07-31 12:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.74$3.20
07-31 12:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.74$2.57