PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Pablomsd.

0x710d868021b6759b2cd98859c26823ba931b6f1c

Realised P&L
$-8.00
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$19.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9500.955$6.02+$0.03
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$4.73$0.03
Will Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.3000.625$2.09+$1.09
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1950.115$1.20$0.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8100.885$1.10+$0.09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$1.06+$0.06
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9100.935$1.03+$0.03
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · No0.4700.450$0.96$0.04
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2000.165$0.82$0.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.2100.155$0.74$0.26
O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under0.4700.000$0.00$2.86
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$0.93
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.60
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 · Over0.0300.000$0.00$0.75
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7600.000$0.00$1.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 14:26United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5SELL0.94$4.72
07-06 03:13Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.999$5.06
07-05 23:59United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5BUY0.95$4.80
07-05 15:09Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro MochizukiSELL0.968$4.88
07-05 05:06Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro MochizukiBUY0.968$4.91
07-04 23:11Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$5.03
07-04 19:02Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$4.76
07-04 18:14Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo SonegoSELL0.9$4.52
07-04 16:53Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.966$4.93
07-04 16:52Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo SonegoBUY0.88$4.44
07-04 05:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1AM ETSELL0.999$5.02
07-04 05:45Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?SELL0.993$4.98
07-04 04:14Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.08$0.40
07-04 01:25Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5SELL0.91$4.55
07-03 22:08Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.2$1.56
Trader Pablomsd. · PolyBot