erutry
0x6e6a5a32c8394cec73edda1caf7b9f0e0252570f
- Realised P&L
- $-171.28
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $60.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.520 | 0.535 | $59.11 | +$1.66 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.713 | 0.114 | $1.06 | −$5.59 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.77 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.47 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$179.67 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.07 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.18 |
| Wizards vs. Warriors · Wizards | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.14 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.80 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? · No | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$467.49 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.99 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.54at 0.370Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
- +$151.20at 0.280Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$78.45at 0.910Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
- +$74.65at 0.630Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
- +$70.48at 0.940Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:24 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.52 | $57.45 |
| 07-20 07:44 | San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.52 | $57.96 |
| 07-08 05:27 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.54 | $77.77 |
| 07-02 02:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.56 | $66.56 |
| 06-25 05:46 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.58 | $66.14 |
| 06-16 03:29 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.59 | $69.07 |
| 06-09 03:29 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.51 | $60.75 |
| 06-03 06:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.64 | $55.70 |
| 05-29 04:54 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.7 | $119.03 |
| 05-20 07:47 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.47 |
| 05-08 03:00 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.52 | $108.01 |
| 04-29 09:20 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.71 | $109.99 |
| 04-29 09:19 | Penguins vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.54 | $31.91 |
| 04-24 02:40 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? | BUY | 0.52 | $110.14 |
| 04-15 03:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.63 | $125.67 |