PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6cda03c0ef236007e70b95f4a708f07bb704dddb

Realised P&L
$6.62
Volume
$65.42
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$10.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6600.997$3.02+$1.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.7600.905$2.38+$0.38
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.2600.260$2.00+$0.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4900.405$1.65$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6500.365$1.12$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-04 02:03Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 18:01Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-03 10:01Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-03 01:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-02 17:56Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4099998743$1.37
07-29 20:21Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 21:24Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.68$2.00
07-28 07:24New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 18:01Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.42$1.26
07-27 02:33Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4089999345$1.23
07-26 14:33Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.4699999153$1.72
07-26 02:32Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-25 14:28Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-25 02:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.619999916$1.92