BrickbyB
0x6ad8dbb08ea2203f61fd81a27439628e6c45637b
- Realised P&L
- $642.49
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $368.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.283 | 0.980 | $173.12 | +$123.19 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.295 | 0.815 | $137.02 | +$87.42 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.424 | 0.820 | $78.55 | +$37.91 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.170 | $0.37 | −$1.63 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.709US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$500.00at 0.050Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 26?
- +$396.10at 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$384.74at 0.484Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?
- +$269.45at 0.250Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:01 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 06:44 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.38 | $25.33 |
| 08-05 06:15 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.56 | $25.65 |
| 08-03 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 13:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.51 |
| 08-02 13:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.969 | $2.65 |
| 08-01 17:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2281944421 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 05:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:43 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:43 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 21:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 20:43 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 13:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.28 |
| 07-29 13:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |