georgecalinescu8635
0x64adfd6f201ce98d7bb274ebb321a6ee3308ca63
- Realised P&L
- $15.3k
- Volume
- $1.59M
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $36.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.956 | $15.1k | +$179.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.956 | $8.5k | −$35.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.945 | $7.2k | +$322.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.965 | $4.4k | +$37.80 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.976 | 0.976 | $975.51 | −$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.977 | 0.978 | $442.63 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.770 | $125.13 | +$4.88 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.084 | $83.50 | −$31.50 |
| Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Team to Advance · Kuopion PS | 0.050 | 0.220 | $33.38 | +$25.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.449Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.590Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.905Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$974.86at 0.980Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:13 | Will FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.34 |
| 08-03 19:57 | FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.21 | $6.02 |
| 08-03 19:12 | Will FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 18:53 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 07-21 15:47 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 15:46 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 15:18 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.14 |
| 07-19 10:59 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $83.86 |
| 07-19 05:59 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $46.64 |
| 07-19 00:33 | Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.899 | $26.96 |
| 07-19 00:32 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999985 | $41.00 |
| 07-19 00:32 | Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8989999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-17 21:47 | Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.051 | $3.57 |
| 07-17 21:36 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.529999999 | $171.42 |
| 07-17 21:34 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.44 | $142.82 |