PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6084502682f788b7d4a45de815cd5e4b14738162

Realised P&L
$0.86
Volume
$23.00
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$10.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6901.000$1.45+$0.45
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6700.935$1.40+$0.40
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No0.5900.705$1.19+$0.19
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8000.930$1.16+$0.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.625$1.12+$0.12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6600.730$1.11+$0.11
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.665$0.95$0.05
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7100.635$0.89$0.11
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.330$0.87$0.13
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2300.185$0.80$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.66$1.00
08-04 01:41Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-04 01:34Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
08-03 17:34Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-03 09:30Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-02 21:11Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-02 05:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-01 21:00Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-01 12:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-01 02:30Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7$1.00
07-31 18:28Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00
07-31 10:27New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00