0x6084502682f788b7d4a45de815cd5e4b14738162
- Realised P&L
- $0.86
- Volume
- $23.00
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $10.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.935 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.705 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.930 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.730 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.665 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.635 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.330 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.185 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.00at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:41 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:34 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:34 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $163 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:30 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 21:00 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:30 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:28 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999699 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:27 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |