timebrotime
0x606d65fca4f80b75926c106d0ac8d3ce90bf1aaf
- Realised P&L
- $107.0k
- Volume
- $5.16M
- Markets traded
- 1,987
- Open portfolio
- $68.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,987
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.8kat 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.6kat 0.285Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$12.0kat 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?
- +$10.6kat 0.828Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$9.1kat 0.785Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:23 | Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 08:16 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.5489279956 | $119.16 |
| 08-04 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4908982554 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $230.09 |
| 08-03 13:56 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.72 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 16:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6102706643 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.3079405137 | $34.17 |
| 08-01 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6232970588 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5269593958 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9012747585 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:07 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:07 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 14:23 | FC Thun vs. Young Boys Bern: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $44.40 |