poj-545
0x5ff32ad64337fad14bfcbbc8362ab0261fb1f315
- Realised P&L
- $-8.51
- Volume
- $215.03
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $15.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.13at 0.4122024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$2.45at 0.550Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.94at 0.720Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.58at 0.760LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$1.33at 0.600Jazz vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 08:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:46 | Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:45 | Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9039999566 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.7879999968 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859997614 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 11:45 | Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 11:44 | Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 11:06 | Will Solana reach $100 in March? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 11:05 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 11:05 | Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9879997313 | $1.00 |