0x5eaf5c0d01c332ef0287e300612ad1dff9dffa1f
- Realised P&L
- $-11.89
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $7.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.729 | 0.785 | $4.20 | +$0.30 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.845 | $2.09 | +$0.14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.026 | $1.14 | −$0.36 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.042 | $0.37 | −$1.13 |
| Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner · Betclic Apogee Esports | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.21 |
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) · MIBR | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.89 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.83 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets · Atlanta Braves | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.93at 0.490Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.87at 0.511New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$2.18at 0.424Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.67at 0.898Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.860Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0349999782 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 20:48 | FK Novi Pazar vs. OFK Beograd: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.996 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 16:38 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 16:33 | Will Suwon Bluewings win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.818 | $1.40 |
| 08-01 13:13 | Exact Score: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 2 - 3 Suwon Bluewings? | SELL | 0.1219533333 | $0.91 |
| 08-01 12:56 | Exact Score: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 2 - 3 Suwon Bluewings? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 12:54 | Will Suwon Bluewings win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.8769999293 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 12:54 | Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9659999974 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 09:59 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.7899996475 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 11:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 05:54 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 05:26 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 02:46 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5109999629 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 02:45 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5109999629 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 02:31 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.95 |