nbjui1
0x5d5f19c31f3866f1009243ad096a2d1f9f3455a8
- Realised P&L
- $-388.27
- Volume
- $679.6k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.6k | +$0.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $1.5k | +$2.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $693.45 | −$1.04 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.850 | 0.883 | $89.29 | +$3.39 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.825 | $83.43 | −$1.52 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.755 | $76.56 | −$4.56 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $66.50 | −$0.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.906 | 0.882 | $45.01 | −$1.20 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.335 | $33.50 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.038Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$5.4kat 0.038Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.100Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.091Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?
- +$2.3kat 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $694.49 |
| 08-03 05:55 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.3k |
| 08-03 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.62 |
| 07-30 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $62.32 |
| 07-30 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879306931 | $997.81 |
| 07-30 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $699.84 |
| 07-30 05:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $81.13 |
| 07-30 05:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.95 |
| 07-30 05:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.906 | $46.21 |
| 07-30 05:10 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.90 |
| 07-30 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.7k |
| 07-29 14:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.570114651 | $397.81 |
| 07-29 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.858 | $85.80 |