valvalvalval
0x5a652a909e86513c42f1596a659d560cede71c00
- Realised P&L
- $-45.08
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $5.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.431 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.570 | 0.585 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · No | 0.870 | 0.880 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.680 | 0.675 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.570 | 0.555 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire · Seattle Storm | 0.640 | 0.450 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| ITF Kayseri: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Deniz Dilek · Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Hina Inoue · Hina Inoue | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa · Paula Badosa | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.33at 0.150PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty
- +$7.52at 0.28576ers vs. Celtics
- +$6.33at 0.240Magic vs. Pistons
- +$4.90at 0.290Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?
- +$4.89at 0.380Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 05:20 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 05:20 | New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 05:20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:42 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:41 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:41 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:41 | Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:40 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:35 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:35 | National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:34 | National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:34 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:21 | Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:21 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |