PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tzquantalpha001

0x592306c26c00c4d9ede9ee341aa39bb2782649cd

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$138.6k
Markets traded
430
Open portfolio
$15.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded430
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8360.855$2.8k+$62.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8000.795$822.01$5.22
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8590.915$558.46+$34.28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9000.900$552.97+$0.05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9640.965$466.92+$0.03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5250.455$410.72$63.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8460.885$403.69+$17.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7540.775$398.34+$10.72
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7440.815$347.88+$30.28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8780.925$291.82+$14.66
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8990.935$284.57+$10.98
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.927$283.89$4.36
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8940.899$277.31+$1.61
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8020.792$265.37$3.08
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9630.979$262.67+$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:37Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.95$25.09
08-02 23:41Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?BUY0.9539998903$8.38
08-02 22:42Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.9859999996$14.06
08-02 22:41Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.88$9.96
08-02 22:41Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?BUY0.9659999897$46.32
08-02 21:41Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9299999869$27.62
08-02 19:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$27.05
08-02 19:40Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?SELL0.962$16.82
08-02 18:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$27.05
08-02 17:42Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9789999966$5.23
08-02 17:41Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6991907513$4.32
08-02 17:40Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6989998697$3.62
08-02 16:47Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.82$12.28
08-02 13:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.927$19.75
08-02 13:40Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8599999961$13.32