tzquantalpha001
0x592306c26c00c4d9ede9ee341aa39bb2782649cd
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $138.6k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $15.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.354US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$269.55at 0.645Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$134.75at 0.402US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$103.10at 0.242Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$83.09at 0.918Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:37 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.09 |
| 08-02 23:41 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.9539998903 | $8.38 |
| 08-02 22:42 | Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $14.06 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.88 | $9.96 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9659999897 | $46.32 |
| 08-02 21:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999869 | $27.62 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $27.05 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.962 | $16.82 |
| 08-02 18:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $27.05 |
| 08-02 17:42 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9789999966 | $5.23 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6991907513 | $4.32 |
| 08-02 17:40 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6989998697 | $3.62 |
| 08-02 16:47 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.28 |
| 08-02 13:41 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.927 | $19.75 |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599999961 | $13.32 |