PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x586099805b7b6569fa2cd00ebdedddedf60493a2

Realised P&L
$-1.14
Volume
$63.26
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$15.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.6100.900$3.08+$0.99
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5200.725$2.91+$0.82
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.875$2.29+$0.20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes0.6200.570$1.92$0.17
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.345$1.85$0.24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3200.245$1.60$0.49
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.79$1.30
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3600.130$0.75$1.34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3900.002$0.01$2.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:29US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.619999911$2.09
08-04 08:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.09
08-04 00:15Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6099999767$2.09
08-03 16:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$2.09
08-03 08:13Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2999999282$2.09
08-02 20:26Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899999123$2.09
08-02 11:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5199999801$2.09
08-01 23:32Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3599999242$2.09
08-01 15:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3899999123$2.09
08-01 04:44Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 20:42New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 12:41Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 17:57Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499997374$1.98
07-29 07:24Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $137.5?BUY0.47$1.41
07-28 17:42New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53