Oliver1978
0x565e2a6c5f7a82a439cf70ff6a331071f95e875d
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $88.9k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$479.01at 0.491Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
- +$333.86at 0.673Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
- +$308.06at 0.410Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
- +$294.22at 0.411Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
- +$273.67at 0.150GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:21 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | SELL | 0.893305121 | $187.87 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.47 |
| 08-03 07:13 | Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $15.69 |
| 07-21 20:09 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | SELL | 0.9447138235 | $96.36 |
| 07-15 18:27 | Obama arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.96025 | $322.80 |
| 07-15 10:07 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $477.87 |
| 07-10 14:32 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | SELL | 0.720875134 | $127.76 |
| 07-07 21:02 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.57 | $55.11 |
| 07-07 20:50 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 07-04 21:29 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.56 |
| 07-04 06:02 | Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | SELL | 0.8117690765 | $206.49 |
| 07-03 09:43 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | BUY | 0.992094449 | $109.56 |
| 07-03 06:00 | Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | SELL | 0.89697 | $8.97 |
| 07-01 21:46 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.52 |
| 07-01 21:46 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? | BUY | 0.81 | $314.93 |