azaila1
0x5587ee2b79037544a3842e8421734b89adc05737
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $129.8k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $340.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.06at 0.032US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$292.98at 0.240US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$274.08at 0.150Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$228.25at 0.180US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$194.12at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0342649361 | $84.16 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $54.71 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $54.71 |
| 08-01 09:57 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.394 | $29.09 |
| 08-01 05:29 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.394 | $0.84 |
| 08-01 04:44 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.394 | $5.91 |
| 08-01 04:33 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.394 | $2.28 |
| 08-01 02:51 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 02:23 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.392 | $34.57 |
| 08-01 01:55 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:45 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $9.76 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.07 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.23 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.79 |