PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

azaila1

0x5587ee2b79037544a3842e8421734b89adc05737

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$129.8k
Markets traded
388
Open portfolio
$340.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded388
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$105.00$35.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0340.031$76.14$8.02
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.3930.366$67.77$4.91
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3500.325$46.43$3.57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.2100.044$20.98$79.02
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3400.365$10.48+$0.72
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.061$8.84$9.87
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4300.405$2.43$0.15
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.4021.000$1.00+$0.60
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0630.001$0.79$99.21
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No0.2000.013$0.68$9.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0342649361$84.16
08-02 05:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.58$54.71
08-02 05:00Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.58$54.71
08-01 09:57Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.394$29.09
08-01 05:29Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.394$0.84
08-01 04:44Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.394$5.91
08-01 04:33Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.394$2.28
08-01 02:51Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.5299999986$50.00
08-01 02:23Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.392$34.57
08-01 01:55Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.2$10.00
07-31 19:45Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.34$9.76
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$0.07
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$0.23
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$2.21
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$0.79