Tommyfinish
0x5519834f341d2601129f95d349af5f7abc037040
- Realised P&L
- $638.39
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $69.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.13at 0.072Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$220.43at 0.214Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$211.94at 0.124Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$48.46at 0.508Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$37.14at 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:49 | Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 12:36 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? | BUY | 0.0389863548 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 10:33 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 10:30 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0990011771 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 10:30 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 15:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 15:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 16:30 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1239999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 06:54 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1189999901 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 06:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 15:35 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 18:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |