yaoyuan1002
0x52c32a78057f0b21d06e1a726bf38672dfaa98b4
- Realised P&L
- $-13.09
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $102.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $46.43 | −$3.57 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.028 | $35.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.080 | $11.50 | −$1.44 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.013 | $2.35 | −$1.65 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? | BUY | 0.0899999942 | $12.94 |
| 08-03 04:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 08:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August? | BUY | 0.0229999944 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 08:53 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0314266402 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 08:52 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |