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Traders

kayman123

0x519ae3707bab90e4d8d2c3c08ffef48c5a5c30a3

Realised P&L
$-122.99
Volume
$60.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$32.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3000.225$15.00$5.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$7.00$13.00
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0900.018$3.87$16.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.055$2.89$7.11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1300.019$1.46$8.54
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$1.43$2.57
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0190.001$0.80$29.20
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0190.001$0.51$19.49
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.80
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$4.00
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$7.00
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$37.78
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$42.00
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$41.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 22:52Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.1899999794$7.00
07-01 22:51Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1$4.00
07-01 06:41Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$76.32
07-01 06:38Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?SELL0.16$16.00
06-18 22:15Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022999989$2.00
05-15 23:34Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?SELL0.003$2.13
05-12 09:05Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$4.79
05-12 09:05Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$5.14
05-09 16:42Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0125905305$8.72
05-07 13:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
05-06 10:59Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
05-06 08:19Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0140297407$24.77
05-06 08:16Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.025$20.00
05-05 19:26Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.025$20.00
04-29 15:46Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.008491691$14.99