0x501A7D185f4eF84585c0d8E6f8d90FA56922F746-1768235067320
0x501a7d185f4ef84585c0d8e6f8d90fa56922f746
- Realised P&L
- $17.41
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $9.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.745 | $6.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.075 | $2.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.025 | $0.90 | −$5.10 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.64at 0.441Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$13.26at 0.430Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$11.65at 0.340Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$11.35at 0.275Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$10.63at 0.320Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2924999602 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner | SELL | 0.999 | $1.78 |
| 07-19 17:38 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:25 | Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:49 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:48 | Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:16 | Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:15 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:14 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 10:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $0.99 |
| 07-13 10:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $11.86 |
| 07-13 10:21 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.215 | $1.37 |
| 07-13 10:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $0.95 |