PolyBot

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Traders

0x4fe819b161f6b11970f242ab8f7c51ad7f925b4f

Realised P&L
$6.48
Volume
$49.81
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$21.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.4400.815$4.24+$1.95
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · No0.6790.962$3.24+$0.95
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3300.440$3.05+$0.76
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · No0.7200.910$2.89+$0.60
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.8000.895$2.56+$0.27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? · No0.7800.835$2.45+$0.16
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7800.585$1.72$0.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.4900.135$0.63$1.66
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · Yes0.3200.045$0.32$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 07:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?BUY0.7799997003$2.29
08-08 17:15US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.7199999497$2.29
08-08 09:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.4899999315$2.29
08-08 00:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.32$2.29
08-08 00:35Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3299999481$2.29
08-07 15:23Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6789999656$2.29
08-07 07:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4399999308$2.29
08-06 23:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8$2.29
08-06 15:09SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.389999954$2.29
08-06 07:01US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7799999659$2.29
08-05 23:00Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4899999315$2.29