16h
0x4fae05745a26044e0b6f617ecd0a515171ec1ab6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $161.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,307
- Open portfolio
- $73.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,307
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$621.19at 0.094Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$425.96at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
- +$236.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$227.45at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
- +$203.76at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.82 |
| 08-03 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.44 |
| 08-03 01:53 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0254901969 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.0573842137 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0761904762 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.104761817 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $14.25 |
| 08-02 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |