PolyBot

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Traders

0x4e8323528bc61683cea9ea7faf23ed439931a81f

Realised P&L
$89.51
Volume
$9.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7930.815$359.65+$9.66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7670.735$306.62$13.37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7300.805$297.71+$27.72
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8810.845$297.24$12.74
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.9600.959$199.68$0.31
Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9570.973$178.05+$2.80
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · No0.8750.905$162.80+$5.40
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? · No0.7000.735$157.50+$7.50
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.740$137.36+$38.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.0000.925$132.48+$132.48
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6090.620$112.18+$1.98
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.4740.245$72.33$67.67
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? · Yes0.6200.940$68.23+$23.23
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · Yes0.3400.235$15.21$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8112137402$200.00
08-04 17:00Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.53$21.46
08-04 16:59Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.81$31.48
08-04 16:56Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$100.00
08-04 16:55Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?BUY0.91$100.00
08-04 16:54Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.85$99.99
08-04 16:54 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.74$100.00
08-04 16:53Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026?BUY0.983$39.32
08-04 16:51Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?BUY0.7$150.00
08-04 16:41NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$200.00
08-03 11:16Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5586122449$27.37
08-03 11:15Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.81$4.05
07-26 18:52Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$50.00
07-25 17:10Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.92$59.99
07-24 13:33Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.9579999959$150.00