0x4e8323528bc61683cea9ea7faf23ed439931a81f
- Realised P&L
- $89.51
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.00at 0.260US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$78.20at 0.390Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
- +$33.70at 0.690Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$29.82at 0.719Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$26.73at 0.771US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8112137402 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 17:00 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.46 |
| 08-04 16:59 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $31.48 |
| 08-04 16:56 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 16:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 16:54 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $99.99 |
| 08-04 16:54 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 16:53 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 08-04 16:51 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 16:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 11:16 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5586122449 | $27.37 |
| 08-03 11:15 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 07-26 18:52 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 17:10 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $59.99 |
| 07-24 13:33 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.9579999959 | $150.00 |