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Traders

0x4e09f6786ba69f33a9f1dc43bb2e6089278b4e9c

Realised P&L
$-10.36
Volume
$125.09
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$9.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Down0.3400.545$3.21+$1.21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.830$2.72+$0.72
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.575$1.95$0.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.170$0.79$1.21
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.3700.115$0.62$1.38
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3900.095$0.28$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 10:11Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
08-05 01:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 05:55Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-03 09:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-02 09:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-02 00:04Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-01 16:04Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
07-30 07:50Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 03:21New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 12:37New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 22:21Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.619999895$1.89
07-26 01:11Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.5599999345$1.71
07-25 13:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
07-25 01:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.6599996782$2.01
07-24 13:05Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
Trader 0x4e09…4e9c · PolyBot